Continent ยท 5 economies ยท #4 by output

South America

Commodity exporters with some of the world's highest real rates. Together these economies produced $4.1T in 2025 โ€” 4% of everything tracked here.

Combined GDP ยท 2025
$4.1T
$4.8T projected for 2026
GDP-weighted growth
2.8%
2.1% in 2026
Median inflation
4.4%
Latest reading per economy
Central banks ยท 368M people
12.00%
median policy rate ยท 3 cutting ยท 1 holding ยท 1 hiking
Map

South America at a glance

Colors are binned within this continent.

Growth

Real GDP growth, largest four

Annual %, 2010โ€“2031. Shaded years are IMF projections.

IMF projection-10%-5%0%5%10%20102012201420162018202020222024202620282030
  • Brazil
  • Argentina
  • Colombia
  • Chile
Share

Output mix

GDP by economy, 2025

  • South America
Rates

Policy rates since 2019

Month-end, %. The four largest central banks on this continent.

0%50%100%20192020202120222023202420252026
  • Brazil
  • Argentina
  • Colombia
  • Chile
Heatmap

Rate decisions, last 24 months

Each cell is one month. Blue = cut, red = hike, gray = hold.

Change vs prior month
  • Large cut
  • Cut
  • Small cut
  • Hold
  • Small hike
  • Hike
  • Large hike
Latest
13.75%
29.00%
4.50%
12.00%
4.25%
Flowchart

Monetary transmission across South America

Pick a central bank to see how its current stance travels through the economy.

  • Easing impulse
Direct effect via expectations
How a cut travels through the economy

Banco Central do Brasil is easing (policy rate 13.75%). Lower rates work through borrowing costs, asset prices, a softer currency and expectations to support demand and jobs, at some risk to inflation. Hover a step to see how each channel works.

Scatter

Growth versus inflation

South America highlighted against every tracked economy. Bubble size is GDP.

  • South America
  • Others
0%2%5%10%20%0%2%4%6%8%2% targetReal GDP growth โ†’โ†‘ Inflation (log scale)BrazilArgentinaColombiaPeru

IMF WEO ยท BIS ยท per-capita GDP for the continent: $11.2K